Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 40/9/20062007 1.A INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE 9 (FAVIO) 2.A POSITION 2007/02/22 AT 0000 UTC : 23.0S / 36.2E (TWENTY THREE DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND THIRTY SIX DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 5.5/5.5 /D 0.5/12 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 940 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 90 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 150 SE: 220 SO: 220 NO: 110 50 KT NE: 060 SE: 060 SO: 080 NO: 060 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1006 HPA / 500 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2007/02/22 12 UTC: 21.7S/35.0E, MAX WIND=060KT, OVERLAND. 24H: 2007/02/23 00 UTC: 20.5S/34.0E, MAX WIND=030KT, OVERLAND. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=5.5 EYE HAS REBUILT ON THE IMAGERY OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS. STEERED BY THE HIGH PRESSURES LOCATED OVER SOUTH-AFRICA, FAVIO REGULARLY TRACKS TOWARDS MOZAMBICAN COASTLINE. IT IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL IN THE VICINITY OF VILANCULOS WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. HEAVY RAINFALL AND VERY STRONG WINDS MAY AFFECT INHAMBANE AND SOFALA PROVINCES.