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B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
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WTIO20 FMEE 221200
SECURITE
STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S)
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 22/02/2007 AT 1200 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 009/10 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND).
MINIMUM SEAS LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).

STORM WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: THURSDAY 22/02/2007 AT 1200 UTC.

PHENOMENON: SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 10 (GAMEDE) 975 HPA
POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 14.8S / 63.8E
(FOURTEEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY THREE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC
MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 14 KT

THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 150 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO MORE THAN 250 NM IN THE NORTHWESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE.

STORM 50/60KT AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 30NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER.
GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 55 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE.
NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 150 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2007/02/23 AT 00 UTC:
15.2S / 61.2E, MAX WIND = 65 KT, TROPICAL CYCLONE.
24H, VALID 2007/02/23 AT 12 UTC:
15.7S / 58.8E, MAX WIND = 70 KT, TROPICAL CYCLONE.

OTHER INFORMATIONS:
GAMEDE GOES ON INTENSIFYING AS IT TRACKS WESTSOUTHWESTWARDS OVER THE NORTHERN EDGE OF SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESURES. A BANDING EYE IS TEMPORARILLY EVIDENCED ON VISIBLE IMAGERY METEOSAT 7 (AT 1000UTC), AND THE SYSTEM IS AT THE THRESHOLD TROPICAL CYCLONE INTENSITY.
THIS IS A BROAD SYSTEM, WITH A WIDE CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION AND EXTENTION OF NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS.
GAMEDE SHOULD TRACK GLOBALLY WESWARDS INTENSIFYING.
STRONG WINDS ARE LOCATED IN THE SOUTH DUE TO THE GRADIENT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES, AND IN THE NORTH DUR TO THE GRADIENT WITH THE MONSOON FLOW, VERY WELL ESTABLISHED.